This one I felt contrarian about after the first leg. Common sense and normal analysis now say that Barca should win relatively easily. They are at home, have the away goal, have gotten back to winning with last weekend’s La Liga win, increased their lead to six points thus taking some pressure off the squad and have Messi. However, a big reason they are favored is that Benzema is a doubt. On the other side, Lyon have the always dangerous Juninho (his first leg goal was probably one of the top 3 free kicks I have ever seen given where it was taken from), nothing to lose and a shaky Barca defense now that Puyol is out. That’s the one major chink in the armor.
Key: If Lyon can score first, they have a shot. However, no Benzema is a problem. I just don’t know if they will have the gas to keep Barca out for 90 minutes on that big pitch at the Camp Nou. Plus, Iniesta is back. I also think Eto’o is due to score.
Surprise match winner: Keita or Gerard Pique.
Prediction: Barca 3 Lyon 1 (if Benzema plays, Lyon in an upset on away goals after holding Barca 2-2).